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The Next Many

2025

IKEA designs for "the many people", but who are the many becoming? In the West the nuclear family is in decline; across the rest of the world, culturally specific household types go unseen when a Western brand exports 'cookie-cutter' concepts. The Next Many is a human-led, story-driven, data-backed global study of household shifts through to 2030, to identify expansion pathways with regionalization, personalization and service innovation in mind.

Partner
IKEA
Role
Data-driven research lead
With
A commissioned group of data analysts
Type
Design research
Markets
🇺🇸 USA · 🇨🇳 China · 🇳🇱 Netherlands · 🇮🇳 India
Cal Orre, Sweden.
Carly Plunkett, United Kingdom.
Daphne Frias, United States.
Elaf Kamil, Sweden.
François Beyers and family, Wales.
Gangadharan Menon, Mumbai, India.
Kymon Greyhorse, United States.
Ludvig Haav, Sweden.
Manami Miyamoto, Japan.
Maria Arrechea and friends, Berlin, Germany.
Michael Jackson, United States.
Nina Tame, United Kingdom.
Priyanka Paul, India.
Raul Elias, United States.
Revathi Thangavelu, India.
Toar Avni, Germany.
Yusuke Onimaru, Japan.

The many, in one frame. Households around the world, from living alone to multi-generational and chosen families. Photographed by Annie Leibovitz, commissioned by IKEA Group Communications. Hover to pause.

Outcome in numbers

4
countries studied: USA, China, the Netherlands and India
30+
household types mapped into one typology
1
interactive dashboard for teams to explore the shifts
1,250
colleagues using it, up from 350 at launch, across research, design, data, strategy and expansion
1
exhibition contribution, feeding the Better Living Platform
Context

The company's existing "one-size-fits-all view" has been challenged for years, losing market share among younger generations and non-nuclear families, and risking future expansion efforts, brand relevance and customer acquisition.

The households IKEA serves are diversifying faster than the brand delivers personalized experiences and services. The household types that matter in China or India, for instance, are not the ones a Western brand assumes when it exports its concept, services and stores. To better inform decisions on customer-related topics, I led a working group to explore and define the customer segments relevant in four core Ingka markets, focusing on the household and how it is changing while recognizing its cultural uniqueness.

Approach

Data-driven design research across four countries, mapping households through the lens of the circle of life rather than the family tree: which household types people move through at each life stage, which are emerging, growing or declining, and which are routinely forgotten, from asylum-seeker families to skipped-generation households. I commissioned and directed a group of design researchers, data analysts and a visual designer to deliver an interactive dashboard, so the information holds up to use, and supported the program by delivering the human stories in the form of exhibitions.

The many families

Every household is a home. Click one to discover who lives there ↓

The many families. The household typology from the interactive dashboard, rebuilt for the web. Click a household to explore who lives there; toggle the growth view to see who the many are becoming by 2030.

ⓘ  About the data

Contextual attributes. Applicable to any household: gender, cultural background, sexual orientation, family ties (adopted, fostered, biological, chosen), disability, living arrangement, religious affiliation, values, lifestyle.

Kept confidential. The specific data behind these shifts is IKEA internal. Shown here is the structure of the typology, with directional trends from public sources.

The full research board: household types mapped through the lens of the circle of life, from born to death, with emerging, growing and declining household types flagged along the way.

Through the lens of the circle of life. The home journey is not linear, it cycles. Every household type mapped along life's transitions, from leaving the nest to shared living in older age, with emerging, growing and declining types flagged at each stage.

Outcome

One interactive dashboard for internal teams. Built for the teams innovating around business expansion and new business, it grew into a company-wide reference used by research, design, data analytics, strategy and market penetration teams, scaling from 350 to 1,250 colleagues.

A typology of household types per country, hosted in that dashboard so teams can explore who the many are becoming market by market; the version above is rebuilt from it.

The research also grounded the "In Search for the Many" exhibition and the initial setup for the Better Living Platform project, which turned the data into real stories and service concepts.